How models are evaluated

Accuracy is only the beginning — sensitivity, specificity, robustness and calibration each tell part of the story.

“Accuracy” sounds simple, but in medicine it can mislead. If 99% of images are normal, a model that calls everything normal is 99% accurate — and completely useless. That is why medical evaluation uses richer metrics.

Sensitivity asks: of the cancers present, how many did the model find? Specificity asks: of the healthy women, how many were correctly reassured? AUC summarises the trade-off. Calibration asks whether predicted risks match reality. Each metric answers a different clinical question.

Metrics that matter

  • Sensitivity — cancers not missed
  • Specificity — healthy women not alarmed
  • AUC — overall discrimination power
  • Calibration — do risk estimates match outcomes

In brief

Raw accuracy can mislead on imbalanced medical data.
Sensitivity and specificity answer different questions.
Calibration says whether risk scores mean anything.

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